2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs 1 Hunter Goodman 6 HRs · 2 Nick Kurtz 6 HRs · 3 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs · 4 Corbin Carroll 4 HRs · 5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 4 HRs · 6 Jake Bauers 4 HRs · 7 Tyler Soderstrom 4 HRs · 8 Marcus Semien 4 HRs · 9 JJ Bleday 4 HRs · 10 Brandon Marsh 3 HRs · 11 Brooks Lee 3 HRs · 12 Cedric Mullins 3 HRs
Alex Bregman
Alex Bregman
CHC RHB
Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman

RHB
CHC · 66 appearances tracked
4
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
6.1%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
16.5%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
89.5
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.137
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#25
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 18 games · 4 HRs in 66 games
Due (1×)
0.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
9
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
18
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
66
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
5
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
0
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
0%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#136.9
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
All Appearances
66 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-06-11 #1.164 Ryan Feltner R/R * 0.0% ⚪ D · — ⚠️ ·
2026-06-10 #117 Michael Lorenzen R/R * 9.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-09 #117 Tomoyuki Sugano R/R * 9.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-07 #172 Trevor McDonald R/R * 10.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-06 #204 Landen Roupp R/R * 9.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-05 #131 Robbie Ray R/L * 9.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-06-04 #121 J.T. Ginn R/R * 8.4% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-03 #185 Jeffrey Springs R/L * 8.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-06-02 #212 Gage Jump R/L * 5.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-31 #204 Matthew Liberatore R/L * 7.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-30 #170 Kyle Leahy R/R * 9.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #172 Andre Pallante R/R * 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-28 #91 Paul Skenes R/R * 8.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-27 #178 Bubba Chandler R/R * 6.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-26 #210 Braxton Ashcraft R/R * 7.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-25 #183 Carmen Mlodzinski R/R * 5.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-24 #176 Peter Lambert R/R * 10.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-23 #185 Kai-Wei Teng R/R * 7.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-22 #190 Spencer Arrighetti R/R * 7.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-20 #192 Kyle Harrison R/L * 8.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-19 #158 Jacob Misiorowski R/R * 9.5% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-18 #111 Brandon Sproat R/R * 12.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-17 #153 Erick Fedde R/R * 14.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-16 #185 Davis Martin R/R * 6.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-05-15 #219 Sean Burke R/R * 10.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 🔥 ·
2026-05-14 #139 Chris Sale R/L * 9.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 #140 JR Ritchie R/R * 11.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-12 #189 Grant Holmes R/R * 9.8% ⚪ D ❄ COLD 💥
2026-05-10 #217 Jacob deGrom R/R * 8.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-09 #215 Jack Leiter R/R * 8.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-08 #149 Kumar Rocker R/R * 9.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-07 #72 Rhett Lowder R/R * 6.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-06 #101 Brady Singer R/R * 12.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-05 #164 Andrew Abbott R/L * 9.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-05-04 #60 Chase Petty R/R * 9.7% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-03 #25 Merrill Kelly R/R * 9.3% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #51 Ryne Nelson R/R * 10.8% ⚪ D 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #102 Zac Gallen R/R * 12.3% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #184 Matt Waldron R/R * 10.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-28 #180 Walker Buehler R/R * 11.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-27 #103 Randy Vásquez R/R * 9.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-26 #110 Justin Wrobleski R/L * 7.6% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-25 #74 Roki Sasaki R/R 12.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-24 #95 Emmet Sheehan R/R 12.4% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-04-23 #50 Cristopher Sánchez R/L 9.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ ·
2026-04-22 #153 Kyle Backhus R/L 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-21 #150 Jesús Luzardo R/L 8.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-20 #131 Aaron Nola R/R 9.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-19 #173 Tobias Myers R/R 8.6% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-18 #170 Freddy Peralta R/R 9.0% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-17 #174 Kodai Senga R/R 8.1% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-04-15 #26 Jesús Luzardo R/L 16.3% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-04-11 #180 Kyle Leahy R/R 6.4% ⚪ D 📈 WARM ·
2026-04-10 #130 Carmen Mlodzinski R/R 10.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-08 #146 Shane Drohan R/R 8.0% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-07 #50 Jacob Misiorowski R/R 15.3% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-06 #40 Brandon Woodruff R/R 15.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-05 #101 Walker Buehler R/R 12.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-04 #157 Randy Vásquez R/R 8.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-04-01 #110 Mike Burrows R/R 11.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-31 #127 Hunter Brown R/R 11.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-30 #86 Lance McCullers Jr. R/R 13.4% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ·
2026-03-29 #74 Jake Irvin R/R 14.2% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT ⚠️ 💥
2026-03-28 #97 Miles Mikolas · 12.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-28 #95 Brady Singer · 12.5% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·
2026-03-26 #71 Andrew Abbott · 12.0% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ·

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